Penn State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
108  Glen Burkhardt JR 31:52
168  Matt Fischer SR 32:04
228  Wade Endress JR 32:16
270  Robby Creese JR 32:24
403  Ean DiSilvio FR 32:41
525  Tony Russell FR 32:54
857  Conner Quinn SO 33:27
860  Brannon Kidder SO 33:27
1,009  Austin Pondel SO 33:40
1,196  Bobby Hill FR 33:56
2,319  Jack Miller FR 35:33
National Rank #37 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 9.8%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.2%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 91.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Glen Burkhardt Matt Fischer Wade Endress Robby Creese Ean DiSilvio Tony Russell Conner Quinn Brannon Kidder Austin Pondel Bobby Hill Jack Miller
Penn State National 10/01 1180 33:06 33:18 33:46 35:33
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 826 31:59 32:34 32:37 32:26 33:17 32:54 32:51 33:26 33:55
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 707 31:48 32:11 32:27 32:38 32:15 33:37 34:07
Big Ten Conference Championship 11/02 502 31:39 31:35 31:57 32:11 32:45 32:05 33:39 34:24 34:01
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/14 646 31:58 31:47 32:05 32:19 32:35 32:56 32:59
NCAA Championship 11/22 32:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 9.8% 23.0 563 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6
Region Championship 100% 4.0 117 0.7 5.4 25.5 35.0 24.6 8.6 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Glen Burkhardt 64.0% 96.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Matt Fischer 34.3% 119.4 0.0
Wade Endress 16.7% 144.6
Robby Creese 11.6% 157.6
Ean DiSilvio 9.9% 194.9
Tony Russell 9.8% 216.2
Conner Quinn 10.0% 244.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Glen Burkhardt 8.6 0.8 4.2 7.6 7.4 7.6 7.4 5.8 6.1 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.0 3.4 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9
Matt Fischer 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.4 5.4 4.7 4.4 5.4 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.6 3.7 3.4 2.7 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.4 1.8 2.1
Wade Endress 21.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.5 4.4 4.1 3.4 4.0 3.8 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.0
Robby Creese 25.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.6 2.2 3.1 3.0 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.6 3.5
Ean DiSilvio 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.5
Tony Russell 46.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
Conner Quinn 66.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 5.4% 100.0% 5.4 5.4 2
3 25.5% 12.4% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.1 22.4 3.2 3
4 35.0% 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 34.4 0.5 4
5 24.6% 0.2% 0.0 24.6 0.0 5
6 8.6% 8.6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 9.8% 0.7 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 2.5 90.2 6.1 3.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Indiana 83.4% 1.0 0.8
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 2.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 3.0 0.0
Cornell 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0